Outcomes

Outcomes and methods

A number is only as good as its definition. Here is each of the numbers we report most often, how it is defined, and what it leaves out.

Principles
  1. Count people, not activity. We report how many people could see, travel or work afterwards, not how many workshops we held.
  2. Fix the definition before the year starts. Each indicator and its target are set in March for the year ahead and not changed after the results are in.
  3. Report the people we lost. Where some people are not followed up, we say how many, and from FY2025 we estimate what their outcomes probably were.
  4. Check a sample ourselves. Our programme quality team visits a random sample of partners each year without warning and re-measures a sample of patients.
  5. Publish the data. Hospital-level and partner-level data for our two largest programmes is downloadable below.
Indicators

Headline indicators

Headline indicators, FY2025 against FY2024
ProgrammeIndicatorDefinitionFY2025FY2024
Sight restorationGood outcome after cataract surgeryPresenting acuity 6/12 or better in the operated eye, 4 to 8 weeks after surgery, of patients followed up78.4%77.6%
Sight restorationFollow-up rateShare of patients seen at 4 to 8 weeks71.2%70.4%
MieruSpectacle wearWearing or carrying spectacles at an unannounced visit 3 months after delivery58%57%
MieruTime to spectaclesMedian days from screening to delivery2427
Implant safetyDays to signalMedian days from first report in a pattern to a published signal1920
Implant safetyClinician reviewShare of reports read by a clinician within 2 working days96.1%94.8%
ContinuityDevices kept workingShare of repaired devices still working 12 months later88.3%86.0%
Living with low visionIndependent travelAssessed as able to travel alone on a regular route after training74%71%
Living with low visionWork retainedIn paid work 12 months after placement87%84%
Shared SightDeletion on requestDeletions confirmed in writing within 30 days100%100%

FY2025 is 1 April 2025 to 31 March 2026.

Source: Programme returns, audited by the programme quality team, Nairobi.

Rows in each file add up to the totals on the programme pages. Data for the other programmes is published in summary on their pages.

The missing

Estimating what we cannot see

About three in ten cataract patients do not come back for their follow-up visit, and the reasons are not random: people with a poor result are less likely to return to the hospital that gave it to them. If we report outcomes only for people who come back, we flatter ourselves.

From FY2025, our programme quality team traces a random sample of patients who missed follow-up, at home, and measures their sight. In FY2025 they traced 1,214 people across fourteen hospitals. Of these, 69.8% had a good outcome, against 78.4% of those who came back. We use the difference to give a range for the true share of good outcomes, which for FY2025 was 72% to 78%.

Tracing is expensive and slow, and we do it only for sight restoration so far. Mieru will begin tracing children who were referred but did not reach an optometrist in FY2026.

Limits